Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XLM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-08 0.176277 0.202216 0.231666 0.267787 0.311181 0.361993 0.426518
2025-06-15 0.138498 0.172701 0.215881 0.275330 0.356558 0.465940 0.628426
2025-06-22 0.112051 0.147985 0.196858 0.270069 0.380389 0.546452 0.827973
2025-06-29 0.096731 0.133679 0.187020 0.272683 0.413006 0.646148 1.093035
2025-07-06 0.084253 0.120651 0.175749 0.269386 0.433865 0.731487 1.368906
2025-07-13 0.076475 0.113095 0.170982 0.274696 0.469457 0.852814 1.773065
2025-07-20 0.070404 0.107133 0.167487 0.280968 0.507788 0.991910 2.295076
2025-07-27 0.065276 0.101889 0.164188 0.286609 0.545991 1.144448 2.951480
2025-08-03 0.061239 0.097882 0.162310 0.294363 0.590520 1.329306 3.845053
2025-08-10 0.057083 0.093119 0.158302 0.296941 0.624113 1.501024 4.852595
2025-08-17 0.053268 0.088499 0.153879 0.297731 0.653688 1.675447 6.056364
2025-08-24 0.049648 0.083829 0.148724 0.295930 0.676337 1.840702 7.425954
2025-08-31 0.046023 0.078855 0.142497 0.290972 0.690543 1.990986 8.966195
2025-09-07 0.044040 0.076816 0.141984 0.299405 0.745245 2.315929 12.115650
2025-09-14 0.041008 0.072430 0.136043 0.293583 0.756638 2.487177 14.639412
2025-09-21 0.039003 0.069890 0.133730 0.296487 0.796337 2.802639 19.171530
2025-09-28 0.036692 0.066514 0.129197 0.292831 0.813955 3.036028 23.756947
2025-10-05 0.035278 0.064849 0.128279 0.298723 0.866522 3.480852 32.647363
2025-10-12 0.034042 0.063440 0.127770 0.305686 0.925994 4.019644 46.147377
2025-10-19 0.032850 0.062012 0.127050 0.311952 0.985831 4.626400 66.051725
2025-10-26 0.031873 0.060962 0.127103 0.320570 1.059189 5.409164 99.694888
2025-11-02 0.030646 0.059256 0.125367 0.323436 1.110276 6.109848 143.792519
2025-11-09 0.029406 0.057421 0.123116 0.324315 1.153666 6.819507 206.733115